A current outbreak has not yet a major impact on society, but on the garlic, pepper and other agricultural products have a tremendous impact, the market price high fever, the common people greatly affected by the table, or even the situation in China as well as inflation in prices produced guess.

Farmers are not planting garlic interests of consumers passively accept the garlic “seafood price” of reality, such an approach can produce hot and cold circulation of agricultural products fluctuations, economic and social development in China has brought a negative impact.

As China’s economic and social development, “hot money” will also be more stronger to face backward flow of agricultural products form a number of market sensitive antennae of “hot money” began to look fixed on the top agricultural products, using any pretext about agricultural prices to huge profits from them.

It was predicted that “stir” behavior as the market information dissemination, logistics development, social hot spots such as the development, showing a trend intensified. Market, the concept of hot money flows through a wild speculation in garlic and pepper, resulting in soaring prices of both products. In garlic, hot pepper when the price of corn, soybean prices in the country after the introduction of the reservoir is the policy, there have been signs of price increase, for many in the industry are concerned that corn, soybeans and other grains will be “explosive speculation “, leading to price fluctuations occur, and further push” inflation “expectations.

Xinhua economic analysts believe that the domestic hot money speculation in some agricultural species in the future is inevitable, but the bulk of agricultural products involved are usually not a very, bulk agricultural products in the “policy market” in the background, the hot money or even prohibitive, do not rush into speculation bulk agricultural products speculation in the buying.

Agricultural products was “stir” the price one after another now, “transaction”
Although garlic is not a staple food on the table the people, but for the production of secondary seasoning dishes is essential. “Economic Information Daily” reporters learned in the investigation Changchun, Jilin Province, the local retail price of garlic has reached 12 yuan per kg, while the public is still buying the food, but that price has been related to people’s lives and business impact .

Many traders believe that prices have gone up this year’s garlic was really like riding on a rocket. Beginning of the year only 1.2 yuan per kilogram, about, mended, wholesale now close to 8 yuan per kilogram. Many vegetables in Changchun City market, vegetable stand owners heard a lot of customer complaints garlic, pepper prices are too high, customers have come to the “inverted grievances.” Yongchang vegetable market in Changchun, the one stand owners, said: “In fact, the purchase price is too high to some extent, affected the sales of stand owners do not earn much money, prices are similar benefits with no price increases.

Additional Even though the current high prices, estimated price increases it even after you have read pepper prices, and what the future cabbage, green onions, and onions, to be sure that prices have been a lot of people must be prepared to hoard these varieties, preparation prices After selling the.”

It is understood, have shown a rising trend in pepper market. Although the general population garlic, peppers and other prices are not rice, flour prices reflect the strong, but still on a round of price rises at a loss. From pork, soybean oil prices, then garlic, peppers and other prices, a round of price increases this trend a little bit so that we “eat well” or “not eat” the. Shu-Yan Zhang Changchun people rely on a two monthly 610 yuan in allowances to life, she “Economic Information Daily,” told reporters: “monthly allowances to down, first thought is to buy rice noodles buy buy oil, the rest is better or vegetables Which will lead to cheap to buy, garlic, pepper prices, we almost do not buy these things at home had. ”

Changchun many people believe that fluctuations in agricultural prices is a normal thing, but not fluctuated, and it would rise so much. Previous price change is with a kind of agricultural acreage, natural disasters and other reasons, changes, and now it is some speculation that these things make people a little puzzled.

Although he kept up the price, but farmers are not truly affordable, on the contrary are wondering whether to expand the planting area next year. Yucheng City, Shandong Province anrenzhen Qi Yao Village, has grown over the years the habit of garlic, but 34 cents of the price per kilogram of garlic and did not let us increase the number, but with the cost of labor increases, many farmers believe that planting a bit of garlic cost-effective.

I heard a pound of garlic sold in the city was 56 yuan, farmers Zhan-jun said: “Over the years we have here are a few cents a pound of garlic, to the city generally have to pound in the 23 yuan, rose to 56 element we have not seen any profit farmers have to make those traders who went to the garlic. but to see the price of garlic so well, next year to prepare a variety of that. ”
Price increases or to become the “engine”.”Saute” agricultural products will bring some immediate adverse effects, even on our future adverse impact on agricultural production.

First, farmers spread a message from the market, resulting in farmers planting blind, causing economic damage. Agricultural market information to give producers some tips for next year’s planting program ahead of plan. However, after “stir” after the circulation of market information on market and demand from the law of the market, artificially created a shortage of market environment, market information is not easily lead to blind farmers to expand cultivation of well-informed of market information “miscarriage of justice “The impact is not able to eliminate one or two years, even more intensified agricultural market rally crash situation, to bring a greater challenge to Agriculture.

Second, agricultural products, “stir” will further push prices of agricultural products to China to bring pressure on people’s livelihood. In China, grain supply and demand are basically in a tight balance of supply and demand, people living with food can be guaranteed, but such speculation will take some of the strength of staple agricultural products and the risks, so the number of annual agricultural production to become unstable hot money start with the varieties.

Despite the garlic, peppers and other staple food on the table is not the masses, but the soaring prices brought about by the group effect can not be ignored, resulting in the cost of constantly pushing the people’s livelihood. Garlic soaring prices, not only reminiscent of recent years, pork prices have been fluctuating widely, and will lead to C PI fluctuations and the livelihood of anxiety. Livelihood of the people involved in the field of speculative funds crazy hype, its negative effects can not turn a blind eye.

Third, despite the inflation in China has not yet appeared, stir of the entire farm, if farm prices, this will be a price rise of the “engine”, thereby pushing up the price level, resulting in signs of inflation or inflation. Farmers will not be food, vegetables decile too small, public consumption also exists such a problem, a variety of agricultural products increases, it may drive fluctuations in the prices of agricultural products, especially in such a panic in certain circumstances be extended dangerous. This year’s background is such a flow, if a flow of people continued to spread and create panic, the price of an agricultural product prices will drive the rest go hand in hand, though this will not last long ride up, but the social impact will continue for some time.

Supply and demand of food production in some areas but remains unchanged.

Throughout the country “stable food” concept, annual peek into the natural disasters, food price volatility as an important factor. In 2009, Northeast China area experienced a severe summer drought, resulting in Jilin and Liaoning provinces in the food production fluctuate, many people speculated whether the use of hot money speculation of drought cut production to food prices, in order to gain profits.

However, the grain output in Jilin Province, despite the drought some cut, but did not have much of the food supply. Despite the severe drought in some areas, but after a series of efforts, the overall production is still partial Jilin autumn harvest scene, the initial total grain output is expected to reach more than 27.5 billion kg.

This summer, the Northeast region of the severe summer drought, Baicheng, Matsubara and four heavily-flooded some areas of equality in some areas cut 3 to 4 percent, and the decline in the quality of food. Now, the province is better than expected harvest of grain production from the Jilin Sheng Nongwei analysis: on the one hand, high-yielding crops to increase, especially maize, rice crops to increase yield rate of the two relatively large, growing area reached 57.51 million acres, 101 acres more than last year; the other hand, new technology for increasing production efficiency increase the size of the province to promote the five major technology area 2060 acres more than last year. In addition, the full drought irrigation, to minimize losses caused by the drought.

From this year’s grain output in Jilin Province to see the level is still one of the best in history, while the grain from the 2008 Acquisition of the reservoir is still a large number of temporary grain storage has not yet sold, postponed to this year’s sales, then food for more than demand situation will remain sustainable. 2008 Northeast State to mandate the reservoir is 4,000 million tons, about the actual acquisition of 35 million tons, close to 11 at the end, only about 15 million tons grain storage temporary sales, only about 20 million tons of grain in the library. Thus, while this year’s grain output has been cut, plus the library surplus glut of supply and demand situation is still not changed.

From soybean varieties, China needs to import about 70% of soybeans, the most recent price increase was mainly due to higher freight rates caused by this year’s international soybean harvest, and the country to implement temporary storage policy, soybean prices will remain high running posture, space and speculation not great.

From the current situation, prices of grain varieties, with the acquisition of steady state prop people about, and many farmers are optimistic about future prices, and appear reluctant sellers, signs of deep-processing enterprises and traders led to rising procurement prices. With the new year approaches, local food market is gradually increasing, food prices will show a steady trend adjustment.

Guard against idle capital as an international capital of “advance team”.

Experts point out that fame and wealth of easy capital, profits before consciously or unconsciously join forces, domestic hot money is still not strong enough on our hands and feet bulk agricultural products. However, if the idle capital in the international capital with the background of China’s agricultural market will be a serious hazard. Judging from China’s soybean industry, currently has nearly 70% of the imports are telling.

As China’s economic development, attention to this emerging and stable international capital markets will be more and more, bulk agricultural products and other resources are the basis of products, their prices can easily drive the prices of most products, so also very serious harm.
For the characteristics of hot money Kuaijinkuaichu, should try to do a good job market information, monitoring and adjustment of industrial policy, to avoid causing permanent damage to the entire industry.

The soaring prices of agricultural products fall on the industry are clear, the ultimate victims will be the most serious farmers and the industry, as China’s food security, economic development will be adversely affected. Related departments should work out corresponding measures for the development of certain industrial capital, technology, information, and other support, to avoid possible industry crisis. Scientific, comprehensive early warning system is necessary.

Ups and downs in the market prices of agricultural products is normal, but there should be non-normal price changes in time early warning and early response strategies to make greater impact and avoid losses. Monitoring of market prices of agricultural products, commodity market monitoring policies need to make predictions, to avoid speculations of the phenomenon of agricultural production, demand, imports and exports, market conditions and other dynamic monitoring, and implement early warning sign, to eliminate possible signs appear.

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