U.S. Economy Swinging Ten Indicators
Two years ago, a profound and lasting financial crisis has devastated the United States had strong. Two years later, the financial market gradually came out from the recession, the U.S. economy is still difficult. This financial disaster and interest rates have been maintained at historically low levels, and prompted the Government to implement a series of economic stimulus. Even so, the growth rate remains slow, economists are becoming increasingly worried about the economy the risk of second bottom.
To see the U.S. economy’s performance over the past two years and the trend is expected in the future, where a summary of 10 major economic indicators.
GDP
Loose credit policy to stimulate consumption and prosperous real estate market suddenly dried up so suddenly the U.S. economy into recession. From the third quarter of 2008, the U.S. has 4 consecutive quarters of negative growth. To mid-2009, economic recovery. Fourth quarter of 2009, GDP growth rate even up to 5%. But since then, the economy ground to a halt phase. Many economists believe that the United States for many years in a lukewarm pace of growth, so that additional government stimulus to prevent the U.S. economy into another recession.
Unemployment rate
Want to know what is the real economic downturn? Look at the unemployment rate to know. From 4.5% before the crisis to more than 9% today, the unemployment rate during the recession of two years staged a dramatic change. The latest Labor Department report showed that there are five applicants a job in the competition. Economists said that unless the job opportunities, and that the country’s economic growth have no hope.
Consumption
Commerce Department data released last Tuesday showed that from August 2009 onwards, gasoline, groceries and clothing and other necessities of consumption, retail sales increased by 3.6%. But economists warned that such a significant sales increase was due to relatively low base, does not represent the true economic recovery. In addition, the market also shows a very unbalanced side, rich with luxury goods market remains active, even the American middle class has been hiding a desire to purchase.
Rates
Although the mid-2009, housing prices and sales began to rebound, and then gradually stabilized, but many economists are still worried about the real estate market. Recent data showed the U.S. July new home sales down 12.4% on the rate, down 32.4% annual rate, nearly the lowest level in 50 years. Many economists are second bottom in the talk about economic issues, but in the real estate market, most likely the second bottom.
Stock market
Before the financial crisis the stock market started to slump into recession even more dispirited, even in government aid and stimulus after the introduction of the stock market did not much improvement. Once the economic recovery, corporate profits and the stock will rebound accordingly, but this year in April, Greece and Portugal of credit problems has lead to global recession fears on the second. Standard & Poor’s index remained at around 1,100 points, less than 10 years ago.
Gold
On September 14, the international price of gold has once again broken the record high, the next few days are not like before a correction, but the way call, on September 15th and the 16th consecutive record high, breaking 1270 U.S. dollars integer mark, and the latest prices have exceeded 1280 U.S. dollars integer mark. Gold is subject to the attention of investors because it is a relatively safe investment instruments, but the financial markets, not a good sign. The high price of gold is the sorrow of the U.S. economy.
Oil prices
Consumers concerned about oil prices because it will lead to the trend of gasoline prices. Before the crisis, global economic growth, oil production peaked, resulting in record high oil prices. The crisis, with gasoline prices of oil stocks and real estate prices continued to fall the same. Although the fall in oil prices is good news for consumers, but the economy is not a good thing. Investors believe that a stronger economy and crude oil prices will lead to fuel demand. In this sense, today’s low oil prices slow economic growth that will continue for some time.
Interest rate
Financial crisis, the Fed no choice but to cut interest rates to stimulate economic recovery. As the economic slowdown, the Fed will not raise interest rates in the near future plans.
Inflation
With Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke’s words, inflation must be contained. However, in recent months, economists worry that falling prices and slower economic growth cycle, known for trend will cause deflation. In view of this possibility and continue to implement a low inflation rate may sound a bit more scientific.
Budget deficit
What could be better than the large fiscal deficit headache. This year, government assistance, military spending, stimulate economic plan and tax cuts to the rich, so the U.S. government deficit swelling. Now, the U.S. treasury bonds totaling 13.45 trillion U.S. dollars, it will be several generations share the burden, and became a serious U.S. economic growth resistance.
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