Mid-term elections the U.S. Congress officially began last night, Beijing time. No improvement in the economic recovery, unemployment remains high and the public about Obama dropping lower and lower satisfaction with the grim situation, the Republican Party is almost certain to regain the House of Representatives, the Democratic Party just to hold the Senate.

U.S. politicians during the election campaign have chosen China as the target, the Sino-US relations after the election will therefore change?

Democratic situation is grim

According to CNN’s latest report, top Democrats in Congress have acknowledged privately, according to the situation now, Democrats lost control of the House of Representatives a foregone conclusion, the only thing is to keep the control of the Senate.

The latest poll estimates suggest that the Republicans will win 55 seats in the House of Representatives, will be the biggest victory in 60 years. In the Senate, several Democratic candidates in the election heavyweight frequent emergency. Among them, the Democratic Senate leader Harry Reid Tea Party and conservative grass-roots movement to support the candidate in Nevada’s support rate parity, it seems to keep the seats for many years is not easy.

In the House, the Democratic Party from the current 256 seats to be reduced to 202 ~ 203 seats, the Republicans may win about 232 seats. In the Senate, the proportion of seats Democrats and Republicans will be from the moment 59:41 into 51:49.

In addition, 50 states in the United States, this time 37 states will elect governors. Currently there are 26 Democratic governors, the Republican Party has 24. 6 state poll estimates may change, so will the number of Democratic and Republican governors as 2:3.

Critical moment in the poll on the eve of the two parties are in the final sprint through the night. President Obama immediately turned the weekend, “fighter” non-stop to the four critical situation in the state, canvassing for the Democratic Senate candidate. Has always been known for a calm Obama in Connecticut’s Democratic Party, speaking at campaign rally, a group of opponents met him on the spot stir constantly booed. Obama’s mood began to get out of control, angry scold spoilers.

Congressional Republican leaders have said previously, to obtain control of Congress after the first task is to Obama 2012 election, and to promote the Obama administration will be blocked the bill, Obama’s administration will face serious challenges .

Economic problems become diplomatic issue

Economic downturn in the U.S. need a punching bag, the image of China to economic competitors to become the Democratic and Republican co-attacks.

Survey shows that 40% of American voters who care about economic issues, 20% concerned about health care, only 5% to 6% of the personnel concerned with foreign affairs. Therefore, Chinese and American foreign policy will not become an important issue in the midterm elections.

But the current economic problems the United States and China are closely related. In the discussion of economic issues, American voters believe that trade with China is the biggest economic obstacles, the largest intellectual property infringement also from China, and China no negotiations on the progress of RMB exchange rate. So many things, added together, the Americans when talking about economic issues, easy to China as the U.S. economic downturn caused by the fundamental structural contradiction.

As for the U.S. mid-term elections, the political environment between China and the U.S. can be ease, Sun Zhe, said that in the next two months, the U.S. should be no problem.

Congress is facing reorganization, transfer, and thus legislative arrangements, the hearing will be limited. Especially in the RMB exchange rate issue, will not be much conflict arises.

But specifically, on the currency issue, the U.S. Congress have different views within, Sun Zhe, said the United States, represented by Democratic Senator Charles Schumer advocated tax increases school of direct pressure, while others advocated the Group of Twenty and other occasions implementation of multilateral pressure on China not in favor of unilateral U.S. action.

“The United States must develop forward-looking national energy policy, to retain the ability to talented engineers and scientists attracted to the United States immigration laws, improve our education system, the fiscal deficit down to sustainable levels, and other similar measures to enhance their competitiveness.

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