Japan Export Engine Revealed Weakness

Japan’s September exports of 5.8 trillion yen (72 billion U.S. dollars), up 14.4%, to 10 consecutive months of growth, but the increase was the lowest since the year that the country’s export engine, under the continuing strength of the yen has shown signs of fatigue.

In October 25 the Asian currency markets, because of G20 finance ministers and central bank governors reached a rate dispute “Break War” consensus, the U.S. dollar against most major currencies, market down, the U.S. dollar against the yen intraday low as 80.56 more the yen since April 1995 the lowest level since.

Bank of Japan monetary policy meeting will be held this week, and in view of the strong yen eroded the country’s growth momentum in the growing market on the bank would take “more aggressive” financial asset purchase plan is also expected to gradually warm up. 25 According to foreign media quoted Minister of Economy and Industry of Japan Tin Wan Hai Jiang as saying that the Bank of Japan or to consider purchasing foreign currency assets including bonds to curb the yen appreciation. According to sources, the bank will announce the acquisition of, or “low grade” corporate bonds and commercial paper to support the financing needs of Japanese companies.

Export power failure gradually

Japanese Finance Ministry said that this year in September, the yen appreciated against the U.S. dollar by 9% year on year. The yen’s strength has enabled Toyota, Sony and other export-dependent Japanese companies less profitable. According to the latest business survey Cabinet Office, Japanese exporters only in the yen against the dollar at 92.90 yen compared with $ 1 or less time to achieve profitability. But in recent days, the exchange rate is always $ 1 at 81 yen hovered for the past 15 years to the lowest level.

Japan Institute of Economic Research, senior economic analyst of life meaning in your new home, said, “There is no doubt that exports to Japan is losing momentum, the future export growth will continue to slow. Strong yen has a serious impact on the country’s exports and business profits. “Japan Research Institute analyst Hideki Matsumura said the latest export data show that global demand is slowing, Japan’s export growth in the next few months, or to slow down the global economy has not recovered.

Japan’s Finance Ministry said Japan’s exports to China grew 10.3%, exports to the U.S. grew 10.4%, exports to the European Union increased by 11.2%, in addition to the growth of U.S. export growth, the exports of China and the EU year on year growth has moderated. In addition, the Finance Ministry also announced the day of the first half of fiscal year 2010, trade statistics, April to September trade surplus was 3.42 trillion yen, up by 83%. Among them, the September trade surplus was 797 billion yen, up by 54%.

Purchase plan or the radical trend

Wan Hai Jiang Tian at the media in an interview that the purchase of foreign currency assets of the Bank of Japan could be an option in the medium to long term, such investment in terms of inhibition of appreciation of the yen has effect. He also said the Bank of Japan’s bond purchase plan can not be seen as an alternative to intervention in the exchange rate, and “we can not think of the criticism of the bank without the option of buying foreign bonds,” rather than direct intervention in currency markets curb the yen’s appreciation.

Bank of Japan in mid-September in the currency markets by selling yen for dollars purchased directly intervene in the yen exchange rate, and in the October 5 meeting of central bank emergency restart zero interest rate policy, announced the formation of 5 trillion yen of financial asset purchase fund. The sea-Eda’s foreign currency assets purchase program, is aimed against the U.S. dollar and by increasing the demand for assets in other currencies, indirectly weakening the strong yen.

However, the sea Eda also cautioned that any plan to buy foreign assets of the Bank of Japan can not damage the balance sheet. He said, “If the bank to take more active measures, the risk will also increase, so it is necessary to discuss the crisis of confidence in risk control and avoid the problem.”

Bank of Japan informed sources quoted as saying the bank or monetary policy in the 28 after the meeting announced the purchase of “BBB” rated corporate bonds or commercial paper II, as previously announced purchase of 5 trillion yen of financial assets, part of a plan .

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