U.S. mid-term elections held on November 2, and soon, “Apprentice president,” Obama will usher in his first “report card.” Two years ago, Obama immediately the stage, the popularity of the more than six, now fallen to less than four into, not only have lost almost all of the middle of moderate voters, and even some left-wing voters are ready to vote in the election, to show the Democratic Party in your wit. If the major polling agency survey is accurate, the Democratic Party is the defeat has become: will lose control of the House of Representatives, the Senate will lose even if they secure an absolute advantage, as state governors may have lost nearly a quarter of the seats, the situation can only to appalling to describe.

Faced with this adverse situation, many people expected before the election, Obama should be making a comeback, even if the “end of their rope” may also wish to re-cast his extraordinary public relations stunt to several touching speech, the overall situation in an attempt to save a little. Obama does have this, but the surprise is that Obama has always been gentle, but has actually lost control at a public gathering of demonstrators Ban Qilian him to, and ordered to leave – in a democratic country, the face of demonstrations and protests can still humble and polite, and no politicians, must have basic literacy, it is difficult to imagine Obama started to play the public relations may actually guilty of this and other low-level errors. Many people will think that this is not good election the Democratic Party, Barack Obama due to excessive pressure. However, I believe that this interpretation is too simple. Behind Obama angry, is that he has given up this mid-term elections, the purpose is to save the presidential election two years later.

The sequence of events before the election, Obama’s four states last weekend canvassing trip, a rally in Connecticut, a group of patients to fight the global AIDS assistance to the demonstrators several times an uproar, repeatedly interrupted Obama speech. Obama finally could not help glaring double welcome, mercilessly retaliate group of demonstrators. An angry response from Obama, you can clearly see, he knows he verbally offended a group of pro-Democratic Party rather than the traditional left-wing social movement groups Republicans, but it is these people, to Democrats unprecedented crisis came to him worse. The so-called fratricide, for the left-wing groups, such an approach, Obama must feel very aggrieved. However, if just to vent and do their own, would not put these people into the Republican side, cast a vote against the Democratic Party?

And there are quite complex political considerations. The left-wing groups dissatisfied with Obama and the Democrats again, you will not be ousted in the Democratic Party, put the Republican Party, because the demand for them in terms of a hundred more harm than good. Now these groups are the main objective point pressure is applied to the Democratic Party. Obama’d move, it may trigger some of these groups of supporters, really cast a protest vote today. As a result, mid-term election defeat, the entire left-wing camp thought they would face a difficult fight for the interests of the political structure – the government hospital confrontation, the Democrats more than Republicans can not take care of left-wing groups. That time, voted against the practice will prove to be extremely stupid.

Thus, the Democratic Party defeated in the midterm elections, the left reflect on the consequences of division, then no choice but to re-unite for two years, Mr Obama has sent his re-election situation, only good. At this moment, this may be the strategy of the Obama thought to himself.

Recalling the history of American elections, we can find a very interesting rule, that is, “the pendulum phenomenon”, that most voters (mainly the middle moderate) as the country’s economic and political situation changes, manifested in the voting Left and Right turns out happened. The economic structure of American society and demographic characteristics of the pendulum in the left and right limits the maximum value, but from both sides of the can between the short or long duration. In other words, the Republican Democratic parties are sure to take turns in power, but each rotation of the process can be fast or slow. Obama is well aware that they are high in the pendulum when the election went to the Democratic Party, and now the pendulum is far left of the original high level, is moving toward the other end. This is a law he could not resist. For Obama, the Democratic Party’s defeat earlier bottoming out early rebound of the whole premise of the situation. Therefore, to give up mid-term elections, and even intentionally or unintentionally, “to be stronger the storm, some” might is the best strategy in this election.

Obama is not the first person to use this strategy. 1994, Clinton has played the same trick, the first defeat in the midterm elections, and then in 1996 with Dole duel win another come back. Clinton’s strategy is to quickly reach the peak of the pendulum, and then put back.

After all, in terms of the overall interests of the two parties, which party is more important is the White House, not Congress see-saw. However, Clinton would like to re-take the old road must also be careful Obama, Clinton finally learned in the defeat of governance, President of the apprenticeship, but it seems that is still groping.

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