The Pressure of Market Regulation
January partial city residential volume exceed 50%. Drop annulus New Year\’s housing have experienced the \”ice hot 0/1\” : the end of December still hot exceptions, but since January and linear downward, during the Spring Festival is in the bottom.
Shanghai YongQing housing data show that the January Shanghai skill residential volume annulus fell 23%, Average price for 22992 yuan, annulus by 5 per cent. January Shanghai has 34 residential projects opened annulus reduce 47%.
Some homes intermediary salesman say, because secondhand the room before the Spring Festival. Many business light ahead of New Year\’s holiday. Johnson salesman \”This year Spring Festival, the actual amount of signing the year-ago period four percent.\” Beijing \”I love my family\” vice President HuJingHui said. February 1 to 9, the Beijing real estate transaction network management system for the Spring Festival holiday and closed, XinPan approval listed beenbogged down, this means that early February Beijing some without XinPan market.
Shanghai, Beijing situation rather representative. Data shows, the monitoring of the January 30 cities, there are 23 cities skill residential volume fell, including compared 15 cities dropped more than 20%, dalian, changsha, baotou, etc dropped more than 50%.
Industry insiders agree that during the Spring Festival housing encounter cold is only the beginning, the government continued regulation, market supply and demand expectations of both wait-and-see emotions will further spread. \”From the trend, after the Spring Festival, market will constantly plunged into obscurity, is expected to 3 months may fall into six volume.\” Shanghai centaline property regional director FanChengZhang said.
But there is a \”control policy powerfully ZhiHouQi\”, short-term inside house price still difficult to have obvious loose. Officials say that volume drops can transform for the truth of falling home prices, will depend on \”the most strict regulation\” policy of the continuity and execution.
This property market regulation will further upgrade. From there, put forward anticipated target distance is restricted city is expected to double. There are signs that because there from anticipated target market regulation distance, the regulation of 2011 further upgrade.
According to the \”kingdom eight\” request, be restricted to will cover the country, is expected to direct blocking part unreasonable pent-up demand. At present, definitely put forward will be restricted city has amounted to 36. According to the new regulation policy requirements, implement the city is expected to be restricted policy will double.
Compared with \”restricted\”, \”stop purchasing\” policy more become market \”sword\”. Shanghai February 1 on stage, to control rules already have two sets of and above housing residents family, have 1 set of and above the family housing residents, \”pause in Shanghai to their houses.
In addition to administrative means regulation that buy a house, the credit card again \”tight\”. \”Two suites minimum 60%, loan interest 1.1 times\” new rules have been implemented. In fact, the first set of mortgage said goodby to a preferential interest rate.
The central government, local government regulation under more pressure to bear. According to the state council, cities will be required to quarter publicize this area annual new housing price control goals. Unfinished relevant target of local government, its principal will face accountability. Ordered under, new regulation policy execution will be more solid, \”works\” also when is more obvious.
Partial reasonable housing demand affected. Buy threshold was improved obviously, rental prices rising dramatically. Reporters found in real estate, regulatory, part of the reasonable housing needs also is affected certainly. High prices, and difficult to loose short-term credit cost, purchase threshold improved significantly and rental prices also rising dramatically.
Shanghai white-collar ChenShuZhe always looking for in house prices dropped when buying a house to live oneself, but he found now buy threshold obviously improved: the first set of mortgage 85 fold favorable interest rate has cancelled, commercial housing accumulation fund loan interest rate and improve again. He calculated that \”stack\” effect under, now apply for 100 million yuan, 20 years period the mortgage purchase, the month for the higher than the first half of last year hundreds of yuan.
Delayed purchase, and had to bear the rent increases. Recently, a copy of the 31 provinces over name renters survey shows that people think last 81.6% rent rises considerably. Due to the continuous, increasing demand control factors, this year the rent is expected to continue to rise.
\”Interest rate hikes tunnel, future reimbursement pressure will continue to increase, economic weak first-time home buyers groups will be faced with larger test.\” Shanghai centaline property research advisory DTP director song will harmony said. Future regulation need straighten out demand structure, aiming at self living demand and investment, speculative demand different characteristics of the \”differentiation force\”.
The state administrative institute, said professor of economics in future market regulation search, on the one hand, should earnestly accelerate affordable housing construction, increasing to live oneself sexual needs of effective supply. On the other hand, in ChaoFang funds gradually after he, should be gradually improved control measures, efforts to make living sexual needs become the dominant force in housing prices \”, really go bungee \”cycle.
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