How to Break Through \”wait-and-see Period\” Of Housing

\”Xinhua viewpoint to the state council YeFeng\” reporter place \”market superintendent himself\” had just finished. In \”the most strict regulation\”, the market is showing under positive changes, but various power game has intensified: \”restricted\” temporarily curbed demand ChaoFang speculation, but still more than forty percent of the city by statistics in March rose more than 0.5% prices annulus; High prices appear loose but there from expect gap.

Superintendent himself, round after an unprecedented estate regulation efforts would again as soon as possible, the market could break lotto \”wait-and-see period\”? Parties to crumble.

Housing \”stuck\” after standoff cooled down, \”\” market feeling\” and \”statistical data\” have different
\”Implementation\” restricted \”later, originally accumulated more than 400 groups of customers of the loss, only 180 much group.\” Shanghai middle of large projects sales director in a recently told reporters.

\”Restricted\” is thought to be the one of the \”killer\” regulation. It now appears that investment the speculative demand get a degree curbed. China federation of industry NieMeiSheng housing industry commerce association, said as the key areas of 35 cities, and therefore to volume by 5 per cent – 7%.

China merchants bank 20, the related survey released, more than 90 percent of respondents said it would no longer increases the real estate market investment.

Since April last year of high housing prices, concussion uplink already brakes. The gains The national bureau of statistics data shows, march national 70 cities new commodity house prices decline and the city flat compared to 20, increased than six month period last month, than the rise in 29 cities are narrowing.

\”You\” also temporarily away. China\’s urban land-value dynamically surveying system data shows that in the first quarter of this year with more than half the city integrated value, or slowing annulus by more than 5% of the city in the second quarter 18 reduced to 6; Six into monitoring urban residential land back growth period. Reporters also found that many appears in the city land reserve. Clinch a deal even flow mark.

In this round of \”the most strict regulation of room in\” high \”money\” control hard beyond ever. By soaring financing listed room each department \”the list type monitoring\”, general room loan difficulties of high. United assets and equity exchange data shows, room the transfer of ownership, credit enterprises is very active. This past rare phenomenon description: market is accelerating \”shuffle\”.

The standing committee of state council says: \”as real estate control policies, market supply and demand of advancing the contradiction, unreasonable demand ease get certain inhibition, market appeared some cooling. This shows signs of about real estate, central control policy is correct.\”

However, the market changes and the expectations are still lag behind. Fudan university, executive director of housing policy research center ChenJie said: \”judgment regulation effect, should ask home-buyers low-income feeling, ask, did you see more security room into supply.\”

Beware of various factors \”hedge\” control effect
When \”the most strict regulation\” into the origins, all kinds of game is intensifying. After the calm surface, have much force \”to\”, probably move constitute a \”hedge\” regulation.

For example, part of the second and the third house prices are still rising urban, \”help rise\” effect cannot be ignored. Data showed that 70 large and medium-sized cities, still have in March 29 cities new commodity house price exceeded annulus 0.5%. Most of these cities is not very eye-catching belonging to or to be restricted without coverage, \”three-line city. This part of the city house prices continues to heat up to market expectations, may bring adverse impact.

Secondly, some local governments control policy in the implementation of the \”left the subsequent party\”. One of the most typical is the house price control target plans problem. In march announced \”limit across goal, almost exclusively,\” became the \”target\” price, individual cities \”price target\” even more than 10%. Recently, after DuZhaZu by the state council, a city of protecting the new cut previously announced housing price rise to determine control target.

Experts remind \”new housing\” except commodity house outside, still include large cap room, resettlement set with matching housing, etc \”security properties\” houses. And as this year \”commercially available\” type security room increased supply and natural also subsequently \”average house prices has been reduced\”.

Again, internal and external financing area factor still cause prices pressure. By inflation expectations affect, liquidity remains fairly strong, buy a house is still many people\’s first choice. Reporters found that for avoiding the \”restricted\”, some people choose the entire section buy but not handle house property card, but to wait until \”restricted to make\” cancel dealt with again. There are buyers said: \”now rising prices faster, other investment channels and not much, or buy a house to compare safety.\”

It is worth noting, domestic monetary policy tightening, room enterprises capital tightens, the RMB appreciation obvious, with various channels to get on the property ladder foreign capital. National bureau of statistics (NBS) said in the first quarter of this year, real estate development enterprise upwards in the utilization of foreign capital funds, 144 billion yuan, a stronger-than-expected 45.2%, for all types of sources fastest increase. China index academy ChenSheng said vice dean, foreign accelerate into the possible counteracts this part of the market regulation effect, shall be vigilant.

\”Policy fence\” and firm the \”normal\” into \”showed\”
Since early April 8, the state council DuZhaZu soldier points, 16 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) implement policies and measures to carry out special control condition of supervision. The efforts of protecting, broad scope, vibration, also bring parties more market expectations.
According to statistics, since 2003, 121 central bank \”file\” published since, the state council and the relevant ministries were released in the real estate market in 40 national file, sparring rounds of market regulation. But in some hotspot cities, 2001-2010 10 years, only the 2008 commodity housing prices appeared weak cut annual keep rising, other 9, the more have 5 years in the double-digit gains. This round of \”history\’s strict\” regulation could let prices regression reasonable level?

The standing committee of state council recently emphasize \”consolidate and expand the real estate market regulation effective\”, \”to insist on regulation direction not shake, and control power not to relax.\” Reiterated \”strictly control speculative investment pent-up demand and increase market supply and stable market expectations, put house prices control in a reasonable level\” and \”construction of affordable housing and earnestly, will be affordable housing construction task decomposition implementation.\”
\”The market has to fully feel the government regulation determination. From the realistic need and local government credibility Angle, regulation have no leeway.\” Achieve universal ZhangLiangJun national managing director said.

ChenJie waiting for many experts think that at present the key is the existing \”policy fence\” and firm. Regulation \”one-two\” involving multiple departments, governments at all levels, after the superintendent himself later, hope can strengthen enforcement, regulatory and accountability efforts, force, to eliminate the \”formed department have policies, downstream countermeasures\” aspect.

The personage inside course of study still suggest, the central government to ensure room especially male rent, but some places in repeating an order time and again on land, the money is still in the stage of exploration. The central should speed up the security of system innovation, perfect room of \”top design\”, top-down accelerate cracked security room especially male rent a series of bottleneck in sexual problems.

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