And Oil Prices “Soft Connection”

Oil and gas equipment and services industry boom of the oil prices are inextricably associated with the oil industry, while not directly affect production costs, but will affect the intensity of exploitation of oil and gas exploration and investment, thus indirectly on the oil and gas production equipment and services affect the environment. Insiders called it the “soft association.”

After the 2008 “peak moment” after the beginning of 2009, international oil prices fell below 34 U.S. dollars, the highest break 80 U.S. dollars in October, oil prices averaged 61 dollars a year compared with 2008, the average price dropped by 37%. Oil prices will undoubtedly lead to oil companies for oil and gas production more cautious, in 2009 domestic crude oil production was 1.89 million tonnes, down 0.8% in 2008, this is the first oil production in recent years, negative growth; natural gas production increased by only 8.6%, significantly less than in the past 5 years the average annual increase of 17%.

Reduce the size of oil and gas exploitation would inevitably affect the related equipment and services industry, market environment, the industries associated with oil and gas prices have to look at the “face.” In 2009 to limit domestic oil production, price reduction, compression and investment measures, related equipment and services market substantially reduced in 2009, three oil giants exploration and production capital expenditures decreased by 12.32%. Affected by this, in 2009 oil and gas equipment and services to the industry’s overall performance was lower than in previous years.

Annual report to the seven listed companies, in addition to the end of October 2009 GEM-listed shares of companies large increase Pao, the other six in the two increases should not exceed 7%, 4 performance decline.

For example, the prospective oil shares in 2009 only 60% capacity utilization, second and third quarter, even the lowest 50% and lower than average level of 85%; God to open orders for 2009 shares in a substantial reduction, in particular, Overseas sales decreased nearly 40% year on year.

Northeast Securities researcher Wang Weigang pointed out that although the same in the oil and gas equipment and service industries, but the company’s products and features are not the same, compared to standard oil shares such as CNOOC services to oil field service-based companies, by the oil price impact of greater flexibility.

“However, although investment in oil exploration and exploitation of nature will be affected by oil prices, but investment will be adjusted each year, as expected by mid-2009 junior oil production will fall by 5%, but oil prices later in the second half to increase the output, annual crude oil production fell by only 3.1%. “one industry people in China Securities Bao told reporters that” in oil prices may Hennanhuidao 50 dollars a case, You Qi exploration and exploitation of long-term investment actually Bu Hui You Da Fu decline in short-term fluctuations in oil prices will not change. so related equipment and service industries associated with oil prices more of a ‘flexible association’. ”

Performance Recovery in 2010 is No Doubt

In January, oil lines from 60 U.S. dollars to 80 U.S. dollars along the way, after holding stability, the market is expected to the year 2010, oil prices may continue maintenance of stability of not more than 100 U.S. dollars in a high level. Analysts pointed out that the rise of oil prices in 2010 no doubt oil and gas equipment and services sector boom of the environment, the 2010 exploration and production companies increased 17.90 percent of capital expenditure plans. Based on the overall market recovery in 2010 to judge the trade on the oil and gas equipment and services sector growth in the same promising results. Northeast Securities researcher Wang Weigang said, and many related companies has been improved orders.

CNOOC’s production target in 2010 will grow 21% -28%, capital investment will grow by 30%; in Oil Exploration and Production segment in 2010 capital expenditures increased 22% than in 2009, but only back to 2008 levels ; in petrochemical exploration and production segment in 2010 capital expenditures will increase by 3.4% year on year, has not yet returned to 2008 levels.

Northeast Securities researcher Wang Weigang said, oil prices rebounded after their own room for growth, coupled with the proximity to the advantage of CNOOC, CNOOC services will face great opportunities for development. 2009, oil prices fell, the whole industry in the valley, dragging down the performance of COSL increased by only 1%; 2010 CNOOC oil prices rise and growth of 30% of capital expenditure, will form a stable COSL’s operating support, and rates are still hovering on the bottom, but also to improve their later provided the space; CNOOC deepwater business development in 2011, but will continue to increase COSL.

Bank of China International judge, Jinan Diesel “profit-for-market” strategy will not be maintained too long. 2010, as drilling activity increases, the company’s product prices have started up, for the social market prices will rebound as the investment has improved.

Oil prices will also bring prospective oil shares, shares of companies such as God bring revival to open opportunities, these companies did not complete in early 2009 to determine the business objectives, but in 2010 the growth of investment in exploration and production segment will bottom out of their performance, recovery to pre-crisis levels.

CNOOC and other companies to provide helicopter services for offshore operations CITIC sea directly, it will continue to benefit from oil companies, the South China Sea expansion strategy. Offshore oil exploration and mining investment on increasing the market for helicopter operations at sea to expand capacity, even in 2009, CITIC sea operation was still flying straight up, performance increases to 15.32%.

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