Over the last month, Shenzhen, meat, eggs, rose significantly. Reporter yesterday interviewed several agricultural analysts, they believe, from the July 6 start of the domestic agricultural futures rose almost over, but the market is expected to rise in agricultural products has not changed. Agricultural market outlook, how much can be gained, depending on autumn harvests.

Up or near the end of agricultural products

Yesterday, the Shenzhen branch of China Agricultural futures analyst Zhu Zhiping told reporters that this round of the domestic prices of agricultural products with up entirely foreign. Continued month rise in domestic agricultural market is almost complete, technically need to be adjusted, but the back is limited.

U.S. agricultural futures began from June 30 rose more than a month, up 70% of U.S. wheat, up 13% of U.S. beans. In its lead, the domestic agricultural futures from July 6 bottoming out, and ale rose nearly 8 percent, up 7% rapeseed oil, soybean oil rose 3%.

August 6th day of U.S. wheat fell 60 cents, after the shock has been. Further increases if the domestic ale, long also need to re-weigh, after all, China has been the harvest, wheat stocks-sales ratio remained at a high level of 61%. Rapeseed oil futures prices reached 8,700 yuan / ton above the 1101 soybean contract are 3900 yuan / ton, the two basic varieties of futures price level is the State Reserve rapeseed oil, soybean can be achieved Selling at Proper Price level ascent dynamic finite .

Cut speculation boosted agricultural

Round up and inflation is expected that the farm? Futures Analysts believe that even more crucial factor is the cut. With the cut theme, along with the hype promoted the capital market. Characteristics of agricultural products is a strong correlation, wheat prices led the other varieties.

New General Manager Wu Xingjiang Lake futures Shenzhen Branch stressed that an agricultural background of rising bad weather, a number of agricultural products in the global cut. Russian wheat cut into three, halt exports. Soybean, corn exporting countries of Argentina, the domestic inflation rate of 11%, which would cause the country’s export reluctant sellers will increase. Canada’s wheat output this year is expected to last less than 23%. There is also the rapeseed, rice cut signs.

Zhu Zhiping said that with funding cuts coupled with the subject matter, agricultural products market at once fried up. In particular, the wheat speculation too much.

Oriental food analyst Edgar agricultural consulting firm Ma Wenfeng analysis, “This round of rising food prices is too much money. Last year the central bank M1 circulation is 3.04 times the previous year, the first half of industrial products, minerals, agricultural prices rose 24 %, 31%, 10%, agricultural products, this is the opportunity to compensatory growth. ”

Key to see autumn market outlook

After a brief pullback, the market outlook of agricultural products will there be a big bull market? Wu Xing believes that the market for agricultural products rising expectations have not changed.

He analyzed, Ming, and the year after next will be like? Is hard to say. State procurement price of grain rose slightly each year. Therefore, prices of agricultural products down space is limited. Late agricultural trend is the most critical considerations autumn. “If the autumn is not an accident, not a sharp rapid rise, the other hand, will have greater market wave.”

Zhu Zhiping, said the market outlook, the key soybean and corn harvest to see the situation. Early speculation over wheat, if the soybean and corn to wheat took up the baton, will drive up prices of agricultural products overall.

Concerned about the policy control is weak varieties

Reporter noted that the stock market agriculture and agricultural futures plate and highly relevant. Great Northern Wilderness (600 598), Shunxin Agriculture (000 860), the grain Tuen River (600 737) and other agricultural plate stock, on July 9 has been pulled up, as of this week, were up 41%, 45%, 61%, far higher than the market, a higher rate of increase in domestic agricultural futures, a star block. Yesterday, the agricultural section of 3% -4%, generally more than down. Investment in agricultural stocks for investors, professionals recommend close attention to domestic and agricultural futures trend. Yesterday, the agricultural futures ale, rice, cotton, soybeans are still slightly higher, corn, soybean meal, palm oil down slightly.

Wu Xing proposed investment in agricultural futures, should focus on the weak capacity of state regulation of products, such as soybean, cotton. Zhu Zhiping also recommended attention to corn and vegetable oil. He was worried that occur in the second half due to rising imports and stimulate domestic vegetable oil prices rise. According to his observation, the domestic bulk cooking oil has risen, the supermarket did not demonstrate the small package edible oil up because there is inventory.

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