Development States Will be More Powerful
Overall assessment of the International Academy of Sciences is quite objective. First, it affirmed the IPCC years of efforts to promote the development of climate science. Second, and I think a very important point, IPCC’s work on all levels of society has aroused great interest in climate change. This is the IPCC not expected to create at the beginning, and now there are so many people, from government officials, down to the ordinary people, are so concerned about climate change, eager to learn about climate change. However, this also made to the IPCC big challenge: we can not fully answer the public’s questions. This is inside the question is, how to use a more objective, more rational, more transparent way to deal with, to meet people from all aspects of the demand for knowledge on climate change. We now need to establish a system of 20 years ago and the system for improvements. I think that the IPCC’s review process is no problem, the entire review process is very strict. The key is how best to choose to participate in assessment scientists and government officials to make them more representative.
IPCC reports are the annual increase in the representation of developing countries. The key is that the choice of scientists and government policy makers, to know how to really understand climate change. In addition, for those who have different views, should give them the full opportunity to make comments, when the assessment should take into account their views. This is not doing enough in the past, not to adopt a number of different views. It now appears that this is not acceptable.
The second point to note is that the IPCC’s chairman and co-chairs of each working group should re-election? Now the problem is re-involve the main Xipa Qiao in the IPCC Working Group I Co-Chair and Qin Dahe. Chinese delegation believes that, since the Qin had chosen, he should re-election. Pachauri, I think he represents the developing countries. Second, in the last election he received through the post. It now appears that his work is very competent, and where there is no dereliction of duty.
His critics that he used the IPCC, to obtain funds from the UK to support his charge of the Indian Institute of Energy. I’ve been twice this institute. If only money he received from the United Kingdom, this in itself is no problem. As he is not with the President of the IPCC position, access to these funds, but also the lack of sufficient grounds to prove the meantime there is a connection.
On the reform of IPCC, IPCC to set up the Executive Committee. World Meteorological Organization, UNESCO is the case, as chairman, the Executive Committee have a daily work, should be allowed to IPCC organized an “academic committee” for them to decide who to choose. In this case, you can spread the power of President. There are opinions and suggestions of reform programs to be more transparent, allow different opinions, some people can not be re-elected. Can not be re-elected, then the views of some individuals to not affect too deep.
China has been committed from the outset, strengthening the voice of developing countries. Voice of developing countries is growing. Now the voice of developing countries rely mainly on support: China, Brazil and Argentina. Special emphasis is that in which the principles of our work, have been emphasizing the balance between developing and developed countries. For example, there is a Chairman of the developed countries, developing countries must have a President, this is called “co-chair.” This is the voice of developing countries to enhance performance. For scientists, the choice of major must also have a certain proportion of from developing countries, as well as representatives of developing countries should have a chapter. Even if we lower the level, it must hear the voice of developing countries. In addition, developing countries must find ways to translate literature and scientific achievements. Meeting place, too, not all in the developed countries, such as China to hold twice.
Having said that, no matter how we strengthen and can not do as developed countries have so many high-level results. However, the writing is to write up, such as monsoons, drought and other issues. Of course, the overall conclusions, or certainly the majority of developed countries.
As more and more Chinese young people to join IPCC’s work, their English is better than the older generation, the chance to speak more. From this perspective, I am the fifth report of the results of adding more confident in developing countries. In this regard, our country has done a lot to prepare themselves, we did an assessment of domestic, is now done twice. These results can be out. Therefore, I believe, the fifth assessment report will strengthen the voice of developing countries.
At present, for the Cancun Ministerial Conference, from science, negotiations, and many other aspects of the domestic slowdown put a lot of suggestions to the central. We are now doing the work, estimated the job will end soon. Committee of Experts on the original only 14 people, after the restructuring of the Expert Committee expanded to 31, covering all sectors. Also increased scientific research, Academy of Sciences increased the number. As a result, the understanding of scientific issues more clearly.
Now summarize the five major scientific questions: First, there is a team dedicated to research, climate change, warming is not a fact. This must make it clear. There are some different views, home and abroad have, that this is a false proposition, or even a “hoax.” These views can provide, but our perspective, to come up with facts, scientific evidence to show.
Second, climate change is human activity mainly in the end, or natural factors, the extent to which human activity accounts? Scientists can understand, but people may not understand. This issue to talk clearly.
Third, the consequences of global warming is largely negative or positive based? Some people think that global warming is a good thing, some people think that the negative impact of more. IPCC to think more negatively.
Fourth, climate prediction, who is now a lot of critics. It is said that a month predicted that allowed, also predicted a hundred years? Of course, I would say that this is something completely different, people do not understand. This requires us to make it clear forecast certainty and uncertainty. Climate models predict that the only way now to predict the future. It is a very complex system, not one or two words can be explained clearly. We want to tell people.
Fifth, is the threshold, the threshold of 2 degrees Celsius is it necessary? “Copenhagen” laid down by 2 degrees Celsius, our country is largely agree. Next, is the domain value and stability of the relationship between level of emissions. Is the corresponding 450ppm (parts per million of carbon dioxide concentration), or 550ppm? This varies greatly. Now a lot of international correspondence 450ppm.
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