In the new climate change summit held, it is necessary to re-review the control of carbon emissions (cap) this old account. According to scientists, the current calculation, if you want the 2000 to 2050, the temperature rise from 2 degrees to 1.5 degrees Celsius peak, the need to control carbon emissions from 1500 tons of carbon dioxide equivalent or less.

So far, countries have been exhausted in just ten years the equivalent of one third. If emissions continue to be the same track in 2020, countries had to face a sharp reduction of emissions in the future reality; Unfortunately, according to people close to the negotiations say – this is believed the U.S. delegation, will appear in 2020 technological leap, in order to achieve rapid reduction. This is the development of ambitious emission reduction targets by 2050, but only the medium-term objectives in 2020 a loose commitment to the cause.

Small island, wandering the edge of death

Recalling the Copenhagen conference, the second week in the negotiations, when the small island countries for the temperature rises of 1.5 degrees Celsius, and this option is included in the draft negotiating text, many developed countries, negotiators suddenly “crazy.”

U.S. climate negotiator, told reporters Pershing once complained: “has been on a good 2 degrees Celsius, they changed their mind, and become 1.5 degrees Celsius, requiring always change.”

Although only a difference of 0.5 degrees Celsius, but for the effect caused by fragile states there are significant differences, such as sea-level rise for the small island that is fatal. Implement the real numbers game, that is, the distance between life and death.

In developed countries, it seems, than the financial crisis and climate crisis together, in the end which is more important? Anonymity of the small island States negotiator, said: “For example, you see even the coastline of Cancun is rising.”

The representative added: “The financial crisis is the ‘fat cats’between the games, while the ‘climate crisis’ are related to people’s lives in my hometown.” He mobility in developed countries are very disappointed, especially U.S. climate change is not the primary issue as a political drag on the international process to be disappointed.

“Global temperatures increased by 2 degrees Celsius, it has been for more than a hundred million years the Earth’s average temperature to be warm, and this has been stable over the period of human history of agriculture can bear the limit.” Ocean Engineering, University of Chicago professor of chemistry Yache (archer) on told reporters, “Considering the drought in Australia, crumbling Arctic ice and increasing storm, the current warming of 0.8 degrees Celsius just been annoying and 2 degrees Celsius objective look really arrogant.”

Disasters, the poor the most tragic

Poverty group Oxfam International latest report, “priority: climate conference to be voice for the poor,” pointed out: in the first 9 months of 2010, there are 2.1 million people died and climate change-related disasters ─ ─ This number more than 2009 twice the year! Extreme climate change events occurred in the past decade an average of 770 times per year, estimated this year will be more.

Pakistan’s highest temperature 53.7 degrees C this year, the highest temperature ever in Asia. The report of Tim Gore told reporters, though, and climate-related disasters can not be attributed solely to climate change, but the trend of climate change have shown that this year’s extreme weather is likely to become more severe, people are already affected, likely to face a greater crisis.

For example, more than 2,000 people in Pakistan floods, flooding about one fifth of the land, resulting in 2,000 deaths, the loss of up to 9.7 billion.

In Russia, this summer the temperature higher than the long-term average temperature of 7.8 degrees Celsius, so the Moscow daily death toll of 700 people, twice the normal mortality rate; high-temperature fire caused damage to 26% of wheat in Russia, the event led to the Russian ban grain exports, then triggered a global grain prices, the impact on the poor hardest.

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