BRIC Has Been Gradually on the International Stage
BRICs, Goldman Sachs, declared from the world, the global investment community to be recognized and sought after. A few short years, the BRICs gradually from the area of investment is more important to board the international stage. G20 G8 meeting to meeting, such as the BRIC summit, all reflect the profound global political and economic situation changes. Mature markets, weakening of traditional power and influence; emerging markets, developing countries influence Strong Tendency.
However, the investment community is “unscrupulous” in. Russia in the past era of soaring oil prices, the economy booming, because of over-dependent on oil exports, the economic development of the entire department in the oil price change, when the United States after the outbreak of financial crisis, the instantaneous cooling global economy, falling oil prices, Russia’s economy back to square one, not present in India and Pakistan’s high growth Asian countries other BRIC character. To this end, the recent lead to “by” out of the BRIC countries Russia and the sound continued.
For adjustment of the voice of the BRIC countries, mainly from the “Dr. Doom” Luo Bini, the United States such as Business Week and Morgan Stanley. In their view, Russia’s stock market performance, demographic dividend, economic growth, etc., was not as good as Indonesia, Russia to Indonesia instead, as a new member of the BRIC countries.
By “Russian” drawing “Indian” on the grounds that the stock market in Indonesia rose 47.6% this year, ranking first in the world, only Russia up 10.8%; Indonesia GDP growth of 6%, Russia 4.2%, Indonesia’s GDP can be three to five years hope to maintain 6% or even higher growth. More important is a great difference between the two populations, young age of 15 the proportion of the total population, 27% in Indonesia, Russia, only 14.8% of the population over the age of 60, Russia 17.8%, Indonesia 8.8% only, while Indonesia’s population of 230 million, is the world’s fourth most populous country, compared with nearly half of Russia’s small population of 1.4 million, Indonesia’s domestic market, the demographic dividend and the advantages are obvious. In addition, Indonesia also has very rich natural resources, including coal, palm oil, natural gas, rubber, etc., which are stronger than Russia.
Indonesia’s share of the BRIC growth of new members, in addition to buying mutual funds in Indonesia, but also buy the ASEAN Foundation. Since the stock market since the financial crisis in Indonesia has been a continuous rise over two years, and recently there may be adjustments. In addition, Indonesia’s stock market is not the total, volatile, buy ASEAN Fund, the risk may be smaller. Of course, the income will be reduced accordingly.
Since Russia has been bearish on the international investment community, whether to give up its investment in Russia and led to the emerging European market? Not. Russian stock market ups and downs associated with higher oil, current oil prices before the financial tsunami hit from a high of 148 U.S. dollars, there is still considerable room for pick-up, Russia will be the beneficiaries of high oil prices. In addition, the new European addition to Russia, Turkey, there are better recent performance.
According to related statistics, the global market rally this year than most ASEAN countries, while Turkey is a. Turkey’s stock market shot up 90% last year, based on the gains so far this year has reached 30%, which is the best performing emerging Europe. Turkey’s total population of more than 7,200 people, is Europe’s most populous country. In the new concept of the global investment community, the among the “Diamond 11 countries”, “civet 6 countries”, with Indonesia as an emerging and growing concern of the investment.
Turkey’s rapid economic growth in the first and second quarter GDP growth rate of 11.7% and 10.3%; the stock market less than 10 times earnings, compared to other emerging markets is still very cheap. With the mature markets of old Europe is different from working mainly with a young population structure; located in excellent location, a bridge between Europe and Turkey to link up Russia, East Asia, Central Asia, EU and other markets, the ancient intercontinental trade hub.
Turkey is not much on a single fund market, and Emerging Europe Fund is allocated a certain proportion of the Turkish stock. Which Templeton Eastern Europe Fund, Turkey accounted for 24%, only less than the proportion of 1% of Russia topped. Baring Eastern Europe Fund, Russia topped 60.4%, 18.6% of Turkey ranked second, similar to other Eastern European Fund and Baring. Investment in Turkey, Turkey can purchase a higher proportion of Eastern European fund. Thus, Turkey’s high growth can be, but also share the benefits of high oil prices in Russia.
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